Dimon rolls trading dice with excess capital

13 June 2024Banks, Risk Commentarybank capital, Basel rules, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Reserve, JP Morgan, share buybacks, Stress tests, tradingNick Dunbar

The Fed softened its stress tests, which freed up bank capital, then came the Basel Endgame which would eat it all up again. Now, with the Endgame in doubt, JP Morgan has deployed its excess capital in trading bets

JP Morgan swallows First Republic Bank

5 May 2023BanksAccounting, bank resolution, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Reserve, interest rates, JP MorganNick Dunbar

Six months ago we warned about held-to-maturity bond losses at US banks, but now the giants that hedged the risk are hoovering up depositors while unhedged regional banks are in crisis

Regulators zero in on commodities

30 May 2022Bankscommodity risk, Federal Reserve, JP Morgan, nickelNick Dunbar

Bank exposures to commodities have reached record highs and in the wake of the nickel market turmoil in March, the Fed is warning about financial stability implications

Facing up to JP Morgan’s leverage relief threats

18 March 2021BanksBank of America, Covid-19, Federal Reserve, JP Morgan, leverage ratios, regulationNick Dunbar

The banking giant warned that it might slash its vast balance sheet if the Fed doesn’t roll over temporary leverage ratio relief. Could it unleash a wave of turmoil in wholesale markets if it doesn’t get what it wants?

US banks face yield curve stress test

9 March 2020BanksBank of America, Goldman Sachs, interest rates, JP Morgan, mortgage-backed securitiesNick Dunbar

The Covid-19 pandemic is driving bond yields to record lows. Meanwhile, the exposure of large US banks to falling rates has been amplified by regulatory changes and ballooning securities portfolios.

How JP Morgan broke the repo market

17 December 2019BanksFederal Reserve, JP Morgan, money market funds, repo lendingNick Dunbar

The Fed relied on JP Morgan to lend out cash into the repo market. But that was before the too-big-to-fail giant made a pivot out of cash into securities.

Collins wedge pushes internal credit models towards irrelevance

2 November 2018BanksBasel rules, Dodd-Frank Act, Federal Reserve, JP Morgan, PNC Financial, Wells FargoNick Dunbar

The Collins amendment has become a binding capital constraint for the biggest US banks. Does this support the Fed’s argument for rolling back the advanced approaches provisions of Dodd-Frank?

US banks grow assets beneath regulatory radar

17 April 2018BanksBank of America, Citigroup, JP Morgan, Wells FargoNick Dunbar

Since adopting Basel III reporting standards three years ago, the biggest US banks have started reducing risk weights while increasing lending. Is this a reflection of a healthy US economy or European-style gaming of internal models?