Operational risk capital for US banks is the highest in the world but the Fed resists formally testing op risk in its stress tests. One reason might be that the Fed would have to explain why the charges need to be so high.
Continue reading..Operational risk capital for US banks is the highest in the world but the Fed resists formally testing op risk in its stress tests. One reason might be that the Fed would have to explain why the charges need to be so high.
Continue reading..by Zia Haider Rahman (Picador 2014) What kind of fiction do they read at Goldman Sachs? A trader I know there recently recommended In the Light of What We Know, Zia Haider Rahman's debut novel. I could see why he was intrigued when I picked the book up. Its two main characters study mathematics and physics…
Continue reading..On the fourth anniversary of the Dodd-Frank Act, the big US banks are still black boxes in terms of their trading activity. However regulators are now getting a bit more information. Over the last month, the big banks have started providing them with so-called reporting metrics under the Volcker Rule, so that the rule’s curbs on proprietary trading can be enforced.
Continue reading..After JP Morgan’s London Whale fiasco, the new trading book risk measures introduced by Basel after the financial crisis began to be supplanted by operational risk capital.
Continue reading..In The Devil’s Derivatives, I tried to answer two questions at the heart of the financial crisis. Why did the trading aspect of banking (the ‘casino’) get to grow so big? And why did regulators allow that to happen? My answer hinged upon something called Value-at-Risk that gave bankers and regulators confidence that risks were measurable, were small compared to trading positions and could be controlled.
It’s now the twentieth anniversary of the invention of VaR at JP Morgan in the early 1990s, and I recently had the opportunity to speak with Jacques Longerstaey, who was one of its principal inventors.
The basic story has been told many times. Dennis Weatherstone, the English-born chairman of JP Morgan wanted to understand the risks of the bank’s fast-growing trading business. “At the end of the day, I want one number”, Weatherstone told Longerstaey and the risk team. The result was VaR.
What fascinated me was that in the fullness of time, Longerstaey was prepared to speak frankly about the real business context behind VaR. An explanation was needed because having invented what was seen as a sophisticated risk management tool putting it light years ahead of other trading firms, JP Morgan decided in 1994 to do something surprising. The bank put this valuable intellectual property in the public domain, publishing what it called the Riskmetrics technical document, which Longerstaey co-authored.
Continue reading..In the last week, we saw major developments in two big scandals - Libor rigging and swap mis-selling in the UK - and the end of the second quarter which is likely to draw a line under a third big scandal - the 'London Whale' losses at JP Morgan. I have some thoughts about these…
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